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排序方式: 共有362条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
141.
基于MSOA神经网络模型的装备保障费用预测 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
引入基于多步骤优化方法(MSOA)神经网络模型用以预测装备保障费用。实验结果表明,与传统的ARIMA时间序列模型和常规BP神经网络模型相比,基于MSOA神经网络预测模型具有更高预测精度。因此,该模型是一种更有效的装备保障费用预测模型。 相似文献
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Most modern processes involve multiple quality characteristics that are all measured on attribute levels, and their overall quality is determined by these characteristics simultaneously. The characteristic factors usually correlate with each other, making multivariate categorical control techniques a must. We study Phase I analysis of multivariate categorical processes (MCPs) to identify the presence of change‐points in the reference dataset. A directional change‐point detection method based on log‐linear models is proposed. The method exploits directional shift information and integrates MCPs into the unified framework of multivariate binomial and multivariate multinomial distributions. A diagnostic scheme for identifying the change‐point location and the shift direction is also suggested. Numerical simulations are conducted to demonstrate the detection effectiveness and the diagnostic accuracy.© 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013 相似文献
144.
Riley M. Moore 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(5):857-878
As a consequence of intervention in Iraq and Afghanistan, force ratio for counterinsurgency (COIN) has come under increased scrutiny. Reduced to its essence, the issue is simply, ‘How many troops does it take to get the job done?’ This answer has been sought by the US military, academia, and think tanks. There have been numerous responses, culminating in several ‘plug-and-play’ equations for minimum force ratios in COIN operations. Due to the impossibility of determining precisely how many insurgent forces there are, it has become common to base force ratios on the population of the country. In the realm of policy, the question above is posed as, ‘How many of our troops does it take to get the job done?’ 相似文献
145.
针对装药长径比对EFP成型的影响,基于一种球缺型药型罩EFP,利用ANSYS/LS-DYNA仿真软件对其成型过程进行建模仿真,研究EFP成型过程及其各项参数.在该基础上,改变装药高度得到不同的装药长径比数据,并对不同长径比EFP形成过程进行仿真,得到不同装药长径比EFP的速度、速度增长率及炸药能量利用率等数据,为选择最佳装药长径比提供依据. 相似文献
146.
Dieter Bos 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(4):279-296
Procurement of advanced technology defence equipment requires appropriate contractual arrangements to achieve efficient R&D investments. This paper analyses the optimality of target‐cost and fixed price contracts and shows that target‐cost pricing can achieve a first best where both fixed‐price contracts and cost reimbursement fail to do so. The main message of this paper is that in incomplete contracting optimality may sometimes be achieved by arrangements which combine several formulae which, individually, would fail to achieve efficiency. 相似文献
147.
David L. I. Kirkpatrick 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(4):263-288
This paper constructs a conceptual model for the selection of defence equipment providing best value for money. It then shows how the unit cost of the chosen equipment increases between one generation of equipment and its successor because of developments in the perceived threat, the available technology and industrial productivity, and demonstrates that unit cost increases can arise from a logical and rational procurement policy and are not necessarily caused by technological chimeras and military vainglory. The resulting persistent rise in unit cost is unlikely to be significantly slowed by any of the counter‐measures yet proposed. The paper then discusses the policies which nations have adopted to accommodate past increases in unit cost, and the options which confront any nation at the point when it can no longer afford to re‐equip a particular element of its armed forces. 相似文献
148.
雷达调频编码脉冲信号的设计与处理 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
现代雷达为获得较高的距离分辨力通常采用编码频率脉冲串信号和步进频率脉冲串信号,但都存在数据率低和较为严重的距离-多普勒耦合问题。在研究这两种信号特点的基础上,提出了调频编码脉冲信号形式并给出了相应的信号处理方法。经仿真对比可见,该信号形式及其处理方法能同时解决步进调频信号高距离-多普勒耦合、低数据率两大问题,具有较好的联合分辨力。 相似文献
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可用性设计是装备综合保障分析的重要内容.合适的可用度指标不但要满足装备效能要求,还应满足费用约束条件.为了设计并选择出费效比最高的保障方案,研究了可用性设计对装备寿命周期费用的影响,提出了运用可用度门限值来控制寿命周期费用的方法,并举例说明具体的应用.最后,就保障性设计中的费用权衡问题提出了几点建议. 相似文献